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Added to YB: 2024-09-24

Pitch date: 2024-09-23

EL [bullish]

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.

-0.07%

current return

Author Info

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Company Info

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide.

Market Cap

$32.6B

Pitch Price

$91.00

Price Target

136.00 (+50%)

Dividend

2.91%

Sector

Personal Care Products

Category

turnaround

Putting lipstick on a pig - Is it time to go long The Estée Lauder Companies after a 70% pullback

EL: Premium beauty co. down 70% from highs. China woes, channel stuffing hit margins. Bull case: Cost cuts, margin recovery (11% to 16-18%), China stabilization, LatAm growth. New CEO in 2025. Trades 30x FY25 EPS, could hit $136 (60% upside) on recovery. Risk: China collapse, market share loss. Long 2027 calls & commons (3% yield).

Read full article (9 min)