Added to YB: 2025-03-11
Pitch date: 2025-03-08
JD [bullish]
JD.com, Inc.
-27.88%
current return
Author Info
BlackSwan Investor is a PhD Statistician by training and have been a long time investor in stocks since 1996. My investment philosophy is to apply a more rigorous quantitative framework towards evaluating individual stocks and the macro environment. Sign up for the newsletter.
Company Info
JD.com, Inc. operates as a supply chain-based technology and service provider in the People’s Republic of China.
Market Cap
$297.9B
Pitch Price
$40.00
Price Target
68.19 (+132%)
Dividend
3.39%
EV/EBITDA
4.56
P/E
9.87
EV/Sales
0.16
Sector
Broadline Retail
Category
growth
Investment thesis on JD.com
JD: Quality-focused Chinese e-commerce giant. 15% CAGR 2019-2024, 4.1% non-GAAP profit margin. Strong FCF ($6B in 2024), clean balance sheet. New food delivery venture. Risks: China-US tensions, fierce competition. DCF valuation $70.54, EPS $63.48. Target $68.19 (40% upside). Buy under $48.70.
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