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Added to YB: 2026-08-10

Pitch date: 2026-08-06

MSFT [neutral]

Microsoft Corporation

+0.16%

current return

Author Info

No bio for this author

Company Info

Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide.

Market Cap

$3.7T

Pitch Price

$499.21

Price Target

351.00 (-30%)

Dividend

0.73%

EV/EBITDA

18.28

P/E

27.85

EV/Sales

11.34

Sector

Software

Category

value

Show full summary:
Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT): The Governance Layer

MSFT (pass): Repositioning from productivity to governance software (E7 bundle, Agent 365) as AI commoditizes coding; identity/permissions moat vs commoditized compute. Azure +43%, backlog $678bn. Base case fair value $351 for 10% IRR; now ~$488 = only 3%/yr. Missed entry window. Risks: chip cost normalization inflating depreciation, GitHub-style preference loss, DMA antitrust. Not a buy, not a short.

Read full article (20 min)