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[BLOG] Idea Brunch

Added to YB: 2026-08-05

Pitch date: 2026-08-03

GEO [bullish]

The GEO Group, Inc.

-0.19%

current return

Author Info

Idea Brunch is an interview series where great off-the-beaten-path investors share their best ideas and insights about their research process. Yellowbrick users get a 20% discount for life

Company Info

The GEO Group, Inc. is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

Market Cap

$4.1B

Pitch Price

$31.35

Price Target

N/A

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

10.96

P/E

15.59

EV/Sales

2.06

Sector

Commercial Services and Supplies

Category

special_situation

Show full summary:
Idea Brunch #2 with Lee Roach of The Value Road - The GEO Group, Inc.

GEO: Bullish on GEO selling ~8k beds to Fed Gov (ICE funding) while retaining operations/cash flow. CoreCivic precedent: $241k net/bed = ~$1.9B potential proceeds, ~half of $4.13B market cap, to pay down $1.5B LT debt. Blue-state facilities (5) could fetch premium given build barriers.

Read full article (1 min)