Added to YB: 2026-08-03
Pitch date: 2026-07-30
ASML [neutral]
ASML Holding N.V.
-2.7%
current return
Author Info
No bio for this author
Company Info
ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems.
Market Cap
EUR 550.8B
Pitch Price
EUR 1.5K
Price Target
N/A
Dividend
0.52%
EV/EBITDA
39.51
P/E
52.08
EV/Sales
15.43
Sector
Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment
Category
N/A
Is ASML's monopoly threatened by China?
ASML (overview): China DUV immersion scanner news overinterpreted. Even pessimistic scenario (Chinese capture 50% of China sales by 2030) = only 4-5% consolidated rev loss, less on profit since least-profitable segment. China 29% of 2025 rev, dropping to ~18% in 2026; EUV & advanced DUV already export-banned. Bigger risk is US MATCH Act barring DUV sales/maintenance to China. Monopoly intact due to huge switching costs, economies of scale. Real long-term threat: missing a tech paradigm shift like Nikon did. Demanding, narrative-driven valuation makes correction healthy.
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