Added to YB: 2026-05-25
Pitch date: 2026-05-21
YPF [neutral]
YPF Sociedad Anónima
Author Info
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Company Info
YPF Sociedad Anónima, an energy company, engages in the oil and gas upstream and downstream activities in South America and Argentina.
Market Cap
ARS 27.9T
Pitch Price
N/A
Price Target
N/A
Dividend
N/A
EV/EBITDA
5.37
P/E
-60.31
EV/Sales
1.61
Sector
Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels
Category
value
YPF Stock Analysis: Down About 10%, Cheap Owner Earnings, But Argentina Can Still Break the Thesis
YPF (overview): Argentina's national oil co w/ Vaca Muerta shale basin. Q1 rev $4.95B, OCF $1.9B, FCF $871M (ex-M&A closer to $400M). Shale oil 205k bbl/d (+39% YoY), low $8.80/boe lifting cost. Owner earnings est $1.5B-$3.2B. At ~$17B mkt cap, ~12-16% OE yield. 8-14% growth if reforms hold. Risks: state control, politics, commodity prices, $8.4B net debt. Druckenmiller owns $150M.
Read full article (4 min)