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[BLOG] DF Research

Added to YB: 2026-05-08

Pitch date: 2026-05-07

RXO [neutral]

RXO, Inc.

Author Info

DF Research shares (mostly) short-biased research from Dalrymple Finance. Sign up for the newsletter.

Company Info

RXO, Inc. engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe.

Market Cap

$3.2B

Pitch Price

N/A

Price Target

N/A

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

17.89

P/E

-31.53

EV/Sales

0.68

Sector

Ground Transportation

Category

turnaround

Show full summary:
RXO: A Dismal Quarter and Amazon Arrives

RXO (update - short): 1Q26 likely shows more dismal results - running out of cash again, negative FCF, full revolver dependence. TTM adj EBITDA est ~$97M (-23% YoY), debt/EBITDA spiking. Amazon entering logistics w/ ASCS competes directly in asset-light brokerage/managed transport/last-mile. Digital broker model failing industrywide (bankruptcies). Mgmt history of mis-guidance (2022 $500M EBITDA target vs ~$100M reality). Stock 50%+ above post-4Q low despite worsening fundamentals & new hyper-competitive threat.

Read full article (4 min)