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Added to YB: 2026-03-11

Pitch date: 2026-03-09

EIF.TO [bearish]

Exchange Income Corporation

+0.78%

current return

Author Info

Glasshouse Research is a team of forensic accountants/analysts on the look out for fraudulent companies. Visit the website.

Company Info

Exchange Income Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in aerospace and aviation, and manufacturing markets worldwide.

Market Cap

CAD 5.7B

Pitch Price

CAD 99.69

Price Target

N/A

Dividend

2.73%

EV/EBITDA

10.59

P/E

32.39

EV/Sales

2.43

Sector

Passenger Airlines

Category

dividend

Show full summary:
EXCHANGE INCOME CORPORATION: ENGINEERING THE PAYOUT

EIF.TO (short): Marketed as defensive Canadian dividend compounder, but ~50%+ of Regional One's leasing customers are medium-to-high-risk counterparties (Nepal, Nigeria, Venezuela, etc); multiple bankruptcies (CityJet, Elite Airways, Mesa). ~30-50 aircraft (33% fleet) parked in Arizona storage since COVID, depreciating invisibly below EBITDA before part-out creates inflated margins above it. R1 uses price-driven inventory costing vs peers' historical cost method. Mgmt changed 'Maintenance CapEx' definition 3x in 6yrs to stabilize dividend coverage optics. Reported FCF $541M (2025) vs conventional FCF only $23M; 9 of last 10yrs averaged -$128M internal cash deficit. ROIC ~7% (below cost of capital) despite asset base expansion. Dividend funded by external capital (just priced $600M bond) not internal cash generation.

Read full article (20 min)