Added to YB: 2026-03-09
Pitch date: 2025-12-25
GWW [bearish]
W.W. Grainger, Inc.
-5.06%
current return
Author Info
No bio for this author
Company Info
W.W. Grainger, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes maintenance, repair, and operating products and services primarily in North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom.
Market Cap
$52.6B
Pitch Price
$1.0K
Price Target
800.00 (-28%)
Dividend
0.81%
EV/EBITDA
18.02
P/E
31.37
EV/Sales
3.08
Sector
Trading Companies and Distributors
Category
value
W.W. Grainger, Inc. - $GWW (short)
GWW (short): Est $44 FY'27 EPS at 18x = $800 PT (-20% vs $1000 today) vs consensus $48 EPS at 22x. Market share gains decelerating to ~300bps from 600bps through COVID; >30% share in large customer segment limits upgrowth. Price realization weakening (Fastenal cutting estimates). Private label (20% of sales, 2x margins) margin pressure from tariffs. SG&A growing >5%/yr limits op leverage. Zoro growth creates 30-50bps margin drag. Risk: short cycle reacceleration.
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