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Added to YB: 2026-02-27

Pitch date: 2025-12-22

ACHC [bullish]

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.

+54.47%

current return

Author Info

No bio for this author

Company Info

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. provides behavioral healthcare services in the United States and Puerto Rico.

Market Cap

$1.6B

Pitch Price

$14.43

Price Target

58.00 (+178%)

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

6.85

P/E

-1.41

EV/Sales

1.29

Sector

Health Care Providers and Services

Category

turnaround

Show full summary:
Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. - $ACHC

ACHC: Largest US behavioral health operator, down 80% from peak on NYT hit pieces, DOJ probe, OBBBA Medicaid cuts ($230M provider tax at risk), $400M+ legal settlements, multiple guidance cuts. But core biz intact, labor costs normalizing (70% opex), activist push working—mgmt shifting to FCF focus, cutting capex $200M to $300M in 2026 (target $150M by 2027). Startup losses ($60-65M) flipping + capex cuts = $500-550M FCF swing. Trades 6x fwd EBITDA vs 11x historical avg. 19% FCF yield at $250M run-rate by 2027. 3-4x upside if re-rates.

Read full article (11 min)