<- Go home

Added to YB: 2026-02-16

Pitch date: 2026-02-12

SGHC [bearish]

Super Group (SGHC) Limited

-2.87%

current return

Author Info

Spruce Point Capital Management is an activist investment manager specializing in forensic short-selling. Sign up for the newsletter.

Company Info

Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company offers Betway, an online sports betting and casino offering; and Spin, a multi-brand online casino.

Market Cap

$4.3B

Pitch Price

$8.71

Price Target

4.25 (-53%)

Dividend

4.81%

EV/EBITDA

7.78

P/E

18.81

EV/Sales

1.66

Sector

Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure

Category

special_situation

Show full summary:
Spruce Point Capital Management Issues 'Strong Sell' Research Opinion On Super Group (SGHC) Ltd (NYSE: SGHC) And Sees 20% - 50% Downside Risk

SGHC (short): Forensic review reveals material EBITDA overstatement - claims 100% ownership of crown jewel Raging River subsidiary (52% of 2025E EBITDA) but B-BBEE certificate proves 10.71% minority interest exists, overstating EBITDA by ~$31M. Complex structure, related-party deals with largest shareholder, FinSurv investigation, prediction market disruption. 20-50% downside to $4.25-$6.80 at 4-6x EBITDA.

Read full article (7 min)