Added to YB: 2026-02-05
Pitch date: 2026-02-02
UPS [neutral]
United Parcel Service, Inc.
-10.62%
current return
Author Info
Alpha Talon Investment Research is a Hong Kong–based private family office deploying only proprietary capital across biotech, value turnarounds, and catalyst-driven shorts, focused on intrinsic value, regulatory odds, and mispriced fundamentals. Sign up for the newsletter.
Company Info
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services.
Market Cap
$82.6B
Pitch Price
$109.16
Price Target
135.00 (+39%)
Dividend
6.75%
EV/EBITDA
7.19
P/E
14.81
EV/Sales
1.19
Sector
Air Freight and Logistics
Category
dividend
United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) at Fair Value: A Long-Duration Income Asset in a Low-Growth Logistics Industry
UPS (overview): Mature logistics utility trading near intrinsic value at ~$100. Post-pandemic reset to yield-over-volume strategy. Structural constraints: unionized labor caps margins, elevated capex limits FCF growth, Amazon pressure on residential. Bull case: $125-135 driven by rate relief + execution. Bear case: $75-85 on continued volume softness. 4% dividend yield anchors returns. Not a growth story - infrastructure play for income-focused investors.
Read full article (35 min)