<- Go home

Added to YB: 2025-12-29

Pitch date: 2025-12-23

FOUR [neutral]

Shift4 Payments, Inc.

+1.13%

current return

Author Info

No bio for this author

Company Info

Shift4 Payments, Inc. engages in the provision of software and payment processing solutions in the United States and internationally.

Market Cap

$4.5B

Pitch Price

$64.50

Price Target

N/A

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

12.89

P/E

30.30

EV/Sales

2.40

Sector

Financial Services

Category

N/A

Show full summary:
Shift4: Valuation and Personal Opinion

FOUR (pass): Debt-fueled acquisition engine masquerading as organic growth. $691M investing cash vs $500M operating cash in 2024, widening to $2.8B vs $410M in 9mo 2025. True CAC hidden in acquisitions/equipment leases while reporting 0.7% marketing spend. 30x FCF valuation assumes perpetual 30%+ growth impossible without external capital. Governance red flags include related-party jets, family buyouts, margin loan stress during CEO's public 'buyer' stance. Hospitality exposure + rising debt costs = spiral risk. Fair value $4-5B vs $9.3B EV.

Read full article (17 min)