<- Go home

Added to YB: 2025-07-17

Pitch date: 2025-07-15

CRCL [bearish]

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

+58.89%

current return

Author Info

Arx Global is exploring global markets through a value-oriented lens, offering deep and dispassionate analysis based on facts. For investors seeking substance over speculation. Sign up for the newsletter.

Company Info

Circle Internet Group, Inc. operates as a platform, network, and market infrastructure for stablecoin and blockchain applications.

Market Cap

$18.0B

Pitch Price

$203.05

Price Target

70.80 (-15%)

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

-121.61

P/E

-43.13

EV/Sales

6.99

Sector

Software

Category

N/A

Show full summary:
$CRCL - near-term short with a target price of $70. Proceed with caution.

CRCL: Short thesis on Circle, $205 stock trading at 90% of USDC circulation. Overvalued given: 1) Revenue depends on interest rates & USDC adoption 2) Limited B2B appeal as blockchain requires debit vs credit 3) Lacks consumer incentives 4) No tech moat 5) Prohibitive Coinbase agreement 6) IPO lockup expires Dec 2025. Fair value significantly below current price.

Read full article (9 min)