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Added to YB: 2025-05-28

Pitch date: 2025-04-10

MP [bearish]

MP Materials Corp.

-131.38%

current return

Author Info

No bio for this author

Company Info

MP Materials Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces rare earth materials in the Western Hemisphere.

Market Cap

$10.5B

Pitch Price

$23.04

Price Target

N/A

Dividend

N/A

EV/EBITDA

3.4K

P/E

-143.70

EV/Sales

29.37

Sector

Metals and Mining

Category

special_situation

Show full summary:
MP Materials Corp. - $MP (short)

MP short: Stage 2 refining is uneconomic at $60/kg NdPr with costs of $80-100/kg vs $27/kg target. China tariff loser not winner - 85% of sales go to China, facing potential 84% retaliatory tariff (-$160M EBITDA hit). Can't make Stage 3 magnets without DyTb, which China banned. $0 PT, 2-5yr bankruptcy timeline.

Read full article (7 min)